Why Iran’s Regime Endures
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Despite heavy airstrikes by Israel and the United States targeting leadership and key infrastructure, Iran’s regime remains more resilient than expected. Analysts point to a unique power structure built not only on ideology or religion, but on strong economic interests.
Only about 20% of Iranians are considered firm supporters of the regime. However, this group is not merely ideological—it is deeply tied to the system through economic benefits. As long as the regime survives, they maintain their livelihoods; if it collapses, their economic foundation could disappear.
At the center is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). With over 125,000 personnel, the IRGC extends far beyond military roles, dominating key sectors such as oil, gas, construction, and telecommunications. Alongside religious foundations and clerical networks, it forms a powerful military-religious complex believed to control more than half of Iran’s economy.
The regime also secures loyalty through tangible rewards. Members of groups like the Basij receive financial aid, low-interest loans, and advantages in university admissions and public sector jobs. This system ties hundreds of thousands of individuals directly to the survival of the regime.
As a result, Iran’s system functions as an “economic alliance,” where political stability is reinforced by shared financial interests. For many, the fall of the regime would mean personal economic collapse, making large-scale internal opposition less likely.
This explains why external pressure—whether military or economic—has not easily destabilized Iran. The regime’s endurance ultimately lies in a deeply rooted structure where survival and economic interests are tightly intertwined.
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#MiddleEast
#Geopolitics
#EconomicPower
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